Manus showed up publicly around 6 March 2025 and went viral as a "general AI agent." Invites suddenly felt like concert tickets.
Chatbot versus agent
A chatbot answers. An agent clicks, fills, chains tools, and keeps going across a browser session. That is why timelines melted: it looked closer to agents instead of chatbots and to earlier shocks like Devin.
Invite culture
Scarcity markets the dream. It also hides failure rates. A week of screenshots is not a reliability report.
Watch what happens when the waitlist opens: either Manus becomes a daily driver for research chores, or it joins the pile of agent demos that needed perfect wifi and perfect prompts. March is peak hunger for autonomous web labor.
Tool vendors downstream of agent traffic will feel the spike first: browsers, scrapers, sandboxes. That secondary boom is a tell. When the picks and shovels move, the gold rush is real enough to meter, even if the miners still slip.
The details will keep shifting. The underlying tradeoff in this moment stays clear enough to write down while it is fresh.
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